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Red48
445133.8
90018.9
39760.7
Blue73
34324.1
110225.4
28112.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505902040801001201401604873

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.80.4
29.929.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop34.0
End0.0
red by 8.4
25.41.0
24.525.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop25.6
End0.0
Second
900
#19
18.90.4
20.420.0
Auto0.6
Teleop18.4
End0.0
blue by 5.2
343
#6
24.11.0
23.224.3
Auto2.0
Teleop22.1
End0.0
Third
3976
#58
0.70.4
2.62.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop0.9
End0.0
blue by 11.3
281
#53
12.01.0
11.812.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.2
End0.0