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Red80
34220.3
457618.1
493513.6
Blue49
40989.4
407413.6
13985.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions512004060801001201401608049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
342
#11
20.32.5
19.722.2
Auto0.2
Teleop20.0
End0.0
red by 6.6
4074
#28
13.61.8
12.814.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.8
End0.0
Second
4576
#22
18.12.5
16.318.8
Auto1.2
Teleop16.8
End0.0
red by 8.6
4098
#48
9.41.8
8.810.7
Auto0.4
Teleop9.0
End0.0
Third
4935
#29
13.62.5
12.114.5
Auto0.5
Teleop13.1
End0.0
red by 8.1
1398
#50
5.51.8
3.95.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.5
End0.0