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Red25
445211.1
42676.2
506310.6
Blue42
122520.6
50203.8
48477.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33270204060801001202542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4452
#40
11.10.6
12.712.1
Auto0.6
Teleop10.5
End0.0
blue by 9.5
1225
#32
20.61.0
17.318.3
Auto0.0
Teleop20.6
End0.0
Second
5063
#33
10.60.6
12.411.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.7
End0.0
red by 2.9
4847
#51
7.81.0
8.09.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.8
End0.0
Third
4267
#56
6.20.6
7.97.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.4
End0.0
red by 2.4
5020
#55
3.81.0
3.84.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.9
End0.0