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Red23
34220.3
49013.5
506310.6
Blue0
128710.0
408311.3
45142.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39280206080100120140230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
342
#11
20.31.1
22.221.1
Auto0.2
Teleop20.0
End0.0
red by 8.9
4083
#37
11.32.2
13.611.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.5
End0.0
Second
5063
#33
10.61.1
11.810.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.7
End0.0
red by 0.6
1287
#54
10.02.2
12.710.4
Auto0.0
Teleop10.0
End0.0
Third
4901
#61
3.51.1
4.73.5
Auto0.1
Teleop3.4
End0.0
red by 1.2
4514
#60
2.32.2
4.52.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.4
End0.0