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Red60
51302.5
445133.8
349018.3
Blue27
450519.5
155312.7
281514.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465102060801001201401606027

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.80.8
29.630.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop34.0
End0.0
red by 14.3
19.51.8
21.119.3
Auto0.0
Teleop19.5
End0.0
Second
3490
#25
18.30.8
17.518.3
Auto0.3
Teleop18.0
End0.0
red by 3.4
2815
#24
14.91.8
16.714.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Third
5130
#64
2.50.8
1.72.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.6
End0.0
blue by 10.2
1553
#31
12.71.8
14.512.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.7
End0.0