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Red197
217065.3
180683.8
295016.8
Blue138
61226.7
62485.0
5857.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1511640400600800197138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.81.9
80.582.4
Auto2.1
Teleop81.7
End0.0
blue by 1.2
624
#4
85.01.5
84.783.2
Auto12.0
Teleop73.0
End0.0
Second
65.31.9
63.865.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop65.7
End0.0
red by 8.3
58
#19
57.11.5
56.354.8
Auto0.0
Teleop57.1
End0.0
Third
2950
#64
16.81.9
14.015.9
Auto-1.1
Teleop17.9
End0.0
blue by 9.9
612
#42
26.71.5
26.925.4
Auto0.8
Teleop25.9
End0.0