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Red105
66823.2
125540.1
205941.4
Blue121
507235.3
541538.1
336058.6
24%Model gave it76%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83132050100150200250105121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2059
#16
41.40.5
38.138.6
Auto0.6
Teleop40.8
End0.0
blue by 17.2
58.60.4
56.055.5
Auto8.0
Teleop50.6
End0.0
Second
1255
#38
40.10.5
34.835.3
Auto1.0
Teleop39.1
End0.0
red by 2.0
5415
#57
38.10.4
38.037.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop38.4
End0.0
Third
668
#69
23.20.5
21.422.0
Auto-1.1
Teleop24.3
End0.0
blue by 12.1
5072
#58
35.30.4
35.435.0
Auto0.4
Teleop34.9
End0.0