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Qual 1112015 Tesla Division
Red105
457123.7
183638.2
241545.2
Blue5
212283.2
131118.3
140345.4
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions891720501502002503001055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2415
#21
45.20.0
46.0→46.0
Auto0.4
Teleop44.8
End0.0
blue by 38.0
2122
#6
83.28.0
88.1→80.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop83.3
End0.0
Second
1836
#37
38.20.0
38.0→38.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop38.2
End0.0
blue by 7.2
1403
#48
45.48.0
50.9→42.9
Auto-1.9
Teleop47.2
End0.0
Third
4571
#49
23.70.0
21.6→21.6
Auto0.9
Teleop22.8
End0.0
red by 5.4
1311
#67
18.38.0
25.8→17.8
Auto0.7
Teleop17.6
End0.0