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Red129
35823.6
165855.0
258754.5
Blue138
152349.7
567821.3
288349.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13010850150200129138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1658
#33
55.00.1
52.852.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop55.4
End0.0
red by 5.2
2883
#27
49.81.1
49.550.7
Auto2.0
Teleop47.9
End0.0
Second
2587
#20
54.50.1
52.552.4
Auto0.0
Teleop54.4
End0.0
red by 4.8
1523
#18
49.71.1
48.249.4
Auto0.9
Teleop48.8
End0.0
Third
358
#61
23.60.1
25.525.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop24.1
End0.0
red by 2.4
5678
#59
21.31.1
17.418.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.4
End0.0