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Qual 1142015 Tesla Division
Red146
24425.3
164736.5
248191.5
Blue128
325044.3
219132.3
573025.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16378050100150200250146128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2481
#1
91.50.5
93.6→93.1
Auto11.6
Teleop79.9
End0.0
red by 47.2
3250
#25
44.31.7
40.8→42.5
Auto1.6
Teleop42.7
End0.0
Second
1647
#52
36.50.5
36.8→36.3
Auto1.7
Teleop34.7
End0.0
red by 4.2
2191
#54
32.31.7
29.5→31.2
Auto0.1
Teleop32.2
End0.0
Third
244
#44
25.30.5
25.2→24.7
Auto1.1
Teleop24.1
End0.0
red by 0.3
5730
#39
25.01.7
24.1→25.8
Auto0.7
Teleop24.2
End0.0