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Red201
205467.9
217065.3
382476.0
Blue128
400354.9
161019.7
22661.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21311950100150250300201128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3824
#11
76.00.2
71.771.4
Auto-1.0
Teleop77.0
End0.0
red by 14.8
226
#32
61.20.5
62.461.9
Auto0.1
Teleop61.2
End0.0
Second
2054
#13
67.90.2
68.368.0
Auto14.5
Teleop53.3
End0.0
red by 12.9
4003
#28
54.90.5
56.155.6
Auto10.8
Teleop44.1
End0.0
Third
65.30.2
65.865.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop65.7
End0.0
red by 45.6
1610
#74
19.70.5
20.319.7
Auto2.1
Teleop17.6
End0.0