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Qual 1172015 Tesla Division
Red175
558214.1
180683.8
248633.8
Blue262
552834.0
336058.6
212283.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110168050150200250300350175262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1806
#8
83.82.6
82.4→85.0
Auto2.1
Teleop81.7
End0.0
red by 0.6
2122
#6
83.24.9
80.1→85.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop83.3
End0.0
Second
2486
#46
33.82.6
31.3→33.8
Auto0.7
Teleop33.1
End0.0
blue by 24.7
3360
#9
58.64.9
55.5→60.4
Auto8.0
Teleop50.6
End0.0
Third
5582
#75
14.12.6
9.6→12.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop14.6
End0.0
blue by 19.9
5528
#60
34.04.9
29.1→34.0
Auto0.6
Teleop33.4
End0.0