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Red244
295971.6
62485.0
384727.7
Blue134
567821.3
500624.1
205941.4
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions190550100150250300244134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#4
85.03.7
83.286.9
Auto12.0
Teleop73.0
End0.0
red by 43.6
2059
#16
41.42.8
38.641.4
Auto0.6
Teleop40.8
End0.0
Second
71.63.7
68.672.3
Auto0.4
Teleop71.2
End0.0
red by 47.6
5006
#62
24.12.8
21.324.1
Auto0.6
Teleop23.4
End0.0
Third
3847
#31
27.73.7
24.027.7
Auto1.2
Teleop26.5
End0.0
red by 6.4
5678
#59
21.32.8
18.521.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.4
End0.0