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Qual 1192015 Tesla Division
Red170
457123.7
31957.1
258754.5
Blue192
347669.5
5857.1
448131.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119145050100200250300350400170192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#12
57.12.1
53.7→55.8
Auto11.5
Teleop45.5
End0.0
blue by 12.5
3476
#15
69.52.3
62.8→65.1
Auto-0.7
Teleop70.2
End0.0
Second
2587
#20
54.52.1
52.4→54.5
Auto0.0
Teleop54.4
End0.0
blue by 2.6
58
#19
57.12.3
54.8→57.1
Auto0.0
Teleop57.1
End0.0
Third
4571
#49
23.72.1
21.6→23.7
Auto0.9
Teleop22.8
End0.0
blue by 7.4
4481
#56
31.12.3
28.8→31.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop31.4
End0.0