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Red100
206258.8
293044.0
35823.6
Blue114
541538.1
102548.0
24425.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135100050150200100114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2062
#29
58.81.7
61.860.1
Auto0.8
Teleop58.0
End0.0
red by 10.8
1025
#45
48.00.5
47.448.0
Auto1.8
Teleop46.2
End0.0
Second
2930
#35
44.01.7
47.745.9
Auto0.7
Teleop43.3
End0.0
red by 6.0
5415
#57
38.10.5
37.638.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop38.4
End0.0
Third
358
#61
23.61.7
25.423.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop24.1
End0.0
blue by 1.6
244
#44
25.30.5
24.725.3
Auto1.1
Teleop24.1
End0.0