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Red99
562722.0
288349.8
365646.3
Blue92
394129.1
239921.4
183638.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124780501001502009992

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2883
#27
49.80.8
50.749.8
Auto2.0
Teleop47.9
End0.0
red by 11.6
1836
#37
38.20.2
38.038.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop38.2
End0.0
Second
3656
#17
46.30.8
47.746.9
Auto-1.2
Teleop47.5
End0.0
red by 17.2
3941
#40
29.10.2
28.929.1
Auto-0.7
Teleop29.8
End0.0
Third
5627
#53
22.00.8
22.822.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.1
End0.0
red by 0.6
2399
#65
21.40.2
21.221.4
Auto0.5
Teleop20.9
End0.0