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Qual 1242015 Tesla Division
Red203
313273.8
70646.3
140345.4
Blue146
405027.2
14143.4
325044.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15896050200250300203146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3132
#2
73.82.5
66.8→69.3
Auto8.1
Teleop65.6
End0.0
red by 29.5
3250
#25
44.31.8
42.5→44.3
Auto1.6
Teleop42.7
End0.0
Second
706
#22
46.32.5
44.0→46.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop46.6
End0.0
red by 2.9
141
#50
43.41.8
41.6→43.4
Auto0.8
Teleop42.7
End0.0
Third
1403
#48
45.42.5
42.9→45.4
Auto-1.9
Teleop47.2
End0.0
red by 18.2
4050
#30
27.21.8
25.3→27.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.3
End0.0