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Qual 1252015 Tesla Division
Red172
17136.2
531436.3
263554.4
Blue102
66823.2
122530.4
61226.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12465050100150200172102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2635
#26
54.42.7
51.8→54.4
Auto0.1
Teleop54.3
End0.0
red by 24.0
1225
#63
30.41.3
29.1→30.4
Auto0.4
Teleop29.9
End0.0
Second
5314
#55
36.32.7
33.7→36.3
Auto1.2
Teleop35.2
End0.0
red by 9.6
612
#42
26.71.3
25.4→26.7
Auto0.8
Teleop25.9
End0.0
Third
171
#24
36.22.7
33.5→36.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop36.4
End0.0
red by 13.0
668
#69
23.21.3
22.0→23.2
Auto-1.1
Teleop24.3
End0.0