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Red89
165855.0
161019.7
448131.1
Blue58
180683.8
150253.6
122530.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions991550502002508958

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1658
#33
55.01.1
56.955.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop55.4
End0.0
blue by 28.7
83.84.4
72.468.0
Auto2.1
Teleop81.7
End0.0
Second
4481
#56
31.11.5
32.330.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop31.4
End0.0
blue by 22.5
1502
#34
53.64.4
48.243.8
Auto0.2
Teleop53.4
End0.0
Third
1610
#74
19.71.1
22.421.3
Auto2.1
Teleop17.6
End0.0
blue by 10.7
1225
#63
30.44.4
31.026.7
Auto0.4
Teleop29.9
End0.0