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Red70
384727.7
288349.8
507235.3
Blue89
293044.0
34060.7
213784.7
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions851780501001502002503007089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2883
#27
49.81.6
47.946.3
Auto2.0
Teleop47.9
End0.0
blue by 34.8
84.74.0
71.967.9
Auto0.4
Teleop84.3
End0.0
Second
5072
#58
35.31.6
36.334.7
Auto0.4
Teleop34.9
End0.0
blue by 25.4
340
#10
60.74.0
52.648.5
Auto0.5
Teleop60.3
End0.0
Third
3847
#31
27.71.6
18.516.9
Auto1.2
Teleop26.5
End0.0
blue by 16.4
2930
#35
44.04.0
45.441.4
Auto0.7
Teleop43.3
End0.0