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Qual 182015 Tesla Division
Red77
140345.4
500624.1
35823.6
Blue94
151532.5
217065.3
287533.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10710560801001201401607794

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1403
#48
45.41.6
61.4→59.8
Auto-1.9
Teleop47.2
End0.0
blue by 20.0
2170
#5
65.30.5
59.5→59.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop65.7
End0.0
Second
5006
#62
24.11.6
20.5→19.0
Auto0.6
Teleop23.4
End0.0
blue by 9.7
2875
#43
33.80.6
26.6→25.9
Auto0.4
Teleop33.4
End0.0
Third
358
#61
23.61.6
26.7→25.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop24.1
End0.0
blue by 8.8
1515
#51
32.50.5
24.5→24.0
Auto1.3
Teleop31.1
End0.0