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Qual 192015 Tesla Division
Red99
4857.4
248633.8
296049.1
Blue101
531436.3
219132.3
131118.3
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14759010020025099101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
#14
57.42.0
61.8→59.8
Auto0.2
Teleop57.1
End0.0
red by 21.0
5314
#55
36.31.3
31.1→32.4
Auto1.2
Teleop35.2
End0.0
Second
2960
#36
49.12.0
48.7→46.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop49.4
End0.0
red by 16.8
2191
#54
32.31.3
25.1→26.4
Auto0.1
Teleop32.2
End0.0
Third
2486
#46
33.82.0
27.9→25.9
Auto0.7
Teleop33.1
End0.0
red by 15.5
1311
#67
18.31.3
19.0→20.2
Auto0.7
Teleop17.6
End0.0