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Qual 202015 Tesla Division
Red99
206258.8
22661.2
457123.7
Blue94
125540.1
318416.4
248191.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13511660801001601802002209994

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#32
61.21.9
63.8→61.9
Auto0.1
Teleop61.2
End0.0
blue by 30.3
2481
#1
91.51.4
81.0→79.5
Auto11.6
Teleop79.9
End0.0
Second
2062
#29
58.81.9
59.4→57.5
Auto0.8
Teleop58.0
End0.0
red by 18.7
1255
#38
40.11.4
27.0→25.6
Auto1.0
Teleop39.1
End0.0
Third
4571
#49
23.72.5
13.5→11.0
Auto0.9
Teleop22.8
End0.0
red by 7.3
3184
#70
16.41.4
15.0→13.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.5
End0.0