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Qual 222015 Tesla Division
Red142
365646.3
29241.8
325044.3
Blue197
5857.1
261316.9
212283.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101150050200250300142197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3656
#17
46.31.5
40.0→41.5
Auto-1.2
Teleop47.5
End0.0
blue by 36.9
2122
#6
83.22.5
78.8→81.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop83.3
End0.0
Second
3250
#25
44.31.5
34.1→35.6
Auto1.6
Teleop42.7
End0.0
blue by 12.8
58
#19
57.12.5
54.2→56.7
Auto0.0
Teleop57.1
End0.0
Third
292
#41
41.81.5
38.6→40.0
Auto1.2
Teleop40.5
End0.0
red by 24.9
2613
#47
16.92.7
14.5→17.3
Auto1.5
Teleop15.3
End0.0