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Qual 232015 Tesla Division
Red29
31957.1
265817.4
299217.1
Blue122
313273.8
62485.0
542212.8
3%Model gave it97%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57160010020025030029122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#12
57.12.3
43.2→40.9
Auto11.5
Teleop45.5
End0.0
blue by 28.0
624
#4
85.01.4
80.2→78.8
Auto12.0
Teleop73.0
End0.0
Second
2658
#73
17.42.6
15.1→12.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.5
End0.0
blue by 56.4
3132
#2
73.81.4
62.3→60.9
Auto8.1
Teleop65.6
End0.0
Third
2992
#71
17.12.8
17.1→14.2
Auto0.1
Teleop16.9
End0.0
red by 4.3
5422
#66
12.81.4
6.7→5.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.9
End0.0