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Red136
541538.1
205941.4
70646.3
Blue130
263554.4
239921.4
252630.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions891000200300400500136130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
706
#22
46.32.1
35.337.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop46.6
End0.0
blue by 8.1
2635
#26
54.41.4
49.250.6
Auto0.1
Teleop54.3
End0.0
Second
2059
#16
41.42.1
23.926.0
Auto0.6
Teleop40.8
End0.0
red by 10.5
2526
#72
30.91.4
32.734.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop31.3
End0.0
Third
5415
#57
38.12.1
34.836.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop38.4
End0.0
red by 16.7
2399
#65
21.41.4
19.721.1
Auto0.5
Teleop20.9
End0.0