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Qual 262015 Tesla Division
Red60
152349.7
384727.7
448131.1
Blue108
573025.0
562722.0
531436.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8848010015060108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1523
#18
49.71.2
37.2→35.9
Auto0.9
Teleop48.8
End0.0
red by 13.3
5314
#55
36.32.6
32.4→35.0
Auto1.2
Teleop35.2
End0.0
Second
4481
#56
31.11.5
30.8→29.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop31.4
End0.0
red by 6.2
5730
#39
25.03.2
8.8→11.9
Auto0.7
Teleop24.2
End0.0
Third
3847
#31
27.71.2
16.9→15.6
Auto1.2
Teleop26.5
End0.0
red by 5.6
5627
#53
22.02.6
15.2→17.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.1
End0.0