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Qual 272015 Tesla Division
Red79
558214.1
183638.2
296049.1
Blue114
507235.3
567821.3
180683.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8112105010015020025079114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2960
#36
49.10.3
46.7→46.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop49.4
End0.0
blue by 34.7
1806
#8
83.80.0
68.0→68.0
Auto2.1
Teleop81.7
End0.0
Second
1836
#37
38.20.3
34.3→34.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop38.2
End0.0
red by 2.9
5072
#58Sur
35.30.0
34.7→34.7
Auto0.4
Teleop34.9
End0.0
Third
5582
#75Sur
14.10.4
9.8→9.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop14.6
End0.0
blue by 7.2
5678
#59
21.30.0
16.8→16.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.4
End0.0