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Qual 282015 Tesla Division
Red156
17136.2
140345.4
213784.7
Blue102
295971.6
161019.7
318416.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15775050100200250156102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2137
#3
84.70.3
67.9→68.2
Auto0.4
Teleop84.3
End0.0
red by 13.1
2959
#7
71.60.6
56.1→56.7
Auto0.4
Teleop71.2
End0.0
Second
1403
#48
45.40.3
59.8→60.2
Auto-1.9
Teleop47.2
End0.0
red by 25.6
1610
#74
19.70.6
21.3→21.9
Auto2.1
Teleop17.6
End0.0
Third
171
#24
36.20.3
21.6→22.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop36.4
End0.0
red by 19.8
3184
#70
16.40.6
13.5→14.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.5
End0.0