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Red143
248633.8
31957.1
241545.2
Blue196
394129.1
287533.8
248191.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92128050150200250143196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#12
57.12.1
40.943.0
Auto11.5
Teleop45.5
End0.0
blue by 34.5
91.53.4
79.583.0
Auto11.6
Teleop79.9
End0.0
Second
2415
#21
45.22.1
33.936.0
Auto0.4
Teleop44.8
End0.0
red by 11.4
2875
#43
33.83.8
25.929.8
Auto0.4
Teleop33.4
End0.0
Third
2486
#46
33.82.1
25.928.0
Auto0.7
Teleop33.1
End0.0
red by 4.8
3941
#40
29.13.4
21.525.0
Auto-0.7
Teleop29.8
End0.0