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Qual 32015 Tesla Division
Red142
567821.3
34060.7
405027.2
Blue105
212283.2
562722.0
66823.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions621250100150200250142105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#10
60.73.4
49.2→52.6
Auto0.5
Teleop60.3
End0.0
blue by 22.4
2122
#6
83.20.7
79.5→78.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop83.3
End0.0
Second
4050
#30
27.23.4
13.6→17.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.3
End0.0
red by 3.9
668
#69
23.20.7
21.8→21.1
Auto-1.1
Teleop24.3
End0.0
Third
5678
#59
21.33.4
11.7→15.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.4
End0.0
blue by 0.7
5627
#53
22.00.9
17.8→16.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.1
End0.0