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Qual 42015 Tesla Division
Red169
205467.9
24425.3
507235.3
Blue116
531436.3
31957.1
261316.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12672050100150200169116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2054
#13
67.92.3
68.9→71.3
Auto14.5
Teleop53.3
End0.0
red by 10.8
319
#12
57.11.6
41.6→43.2
Auto11.5
Teleop45.5
End0.0
Second
5072
#58
35.32.3
34.0→36.3
Auto0.4
Teleop34.9
End0.0
blue by 1.0
5314
#55
36.31.6
29.5→31.1
Auto1.2
Teleop35.2
End0.0
Third
244
#44
25.32.3
19.4→21.8
Auto1.1
Teleop24.1
End0.0
red by 8.4
2613
#47
16.92.0
12.6→14.5
Auto1.5
Teleop15.3
End0.0