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Qual 372015 Tesla Division
Red84
125540.1
347669.5
70646.3
Blue168
365646.3
293044.0
219132.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1101058010012014016084168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3476
#15
69.51.5
50.0→48.5
Auto-0.7
Teleop70.2
End0.0
red by 23.2
3656
#17
46.32.9
41.5→44.4
Auto-1.2
Teleop47.5
End0.0
Second
706
#22
46.31.5
37.4→36.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop46.6
End0.0
red by 2.3
2930
#35
44.02.9
41.4→44.3
Auto0.7
Teleop43.3
End0.0
Third
1255
#38
40.11.5
25.6→24.1
Auto1.0
Teleop39.1
End0.0
red by 7.8
2191
#54
32.32.9
26.4→29.4
Auto0.1
Teleop32.2
End0.0