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Qual 382015 Tesla Division
Red103
61226.7
500624.1
258754.5
Blue114
252630.9
299217.1
206258.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83106050150200250300103114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2587
#20
54.50.7
47.8→48.5
Auto0.0
Teleop54.4
End0.0
blue by 4.3
2062
#29
58.80.4
57.5→57.9
Auto0.8
Teleop58.0
End0.0
Second
612
#42
26.70.7
23.1→23.7
Auto0.8
Teleop25.9
End0.0
blue by 4.2
2526
#72
30.90.4
34.2→34.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop31.3
End0.0
Third
5006
#62
24.10.7
19.0→19.6
Auto0.6
Teleop23.4
End0.0
red by 7.0
2992
#71
17.10.4
14.2→14.7
Auto0.1
Teleop16.9
End0.0