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Qual 392015 Tesla Division
Red118
318416.4
394129.1
180683.8
Blue63
205467.9
295016.8
405027.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10499608012014011863

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1806
#8
83.80.5
68.0→68.5
Auto2.1
Teleop81.7
End0.0
red by 15.9
2054
#13
67.92.0
73.6→71.6
Auto14.5
Teleop53.3
End0.0
Second
3941
#40
29.10.5
25.0→25.5
Auto-0.7
Teleop29.8
End0.0
red by 1.9
4050
#30
27.22.0
20.3→18.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.3
End0.0
Third
3184
#70
16.40.5
14.1→14.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.5
End0.0
blue by 0.4
2950
#64
16.82.0
9.6→7.5
Auto-1.1
Teleop17.9
End0.0