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Qual 402015 Tesla Division
Red182
5857.1
152349.7
241545.2
Blue66
507235.3
558214.1
161019.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13850010015020025018266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
#19
57.13.0
54.8→57.8
Auto0.0
Teleop57.1
End0.0
red by 21.8
5072
#58
35.30.0
34.7→34.7
Auto0.4
Teleop34.9
End0.0
Second
1523
#18
49.73.0
37.8→40.8
Auto0.9
Teleop48.8
End0.0
red by 30.0
1610
#74
19.70.0
21.9→21.9
Auto2.1
Teleop17.6
End0.0
Third
2415
#21
45.23.0
36.0→39.0
Auto0.4
Teleop44.8
End0.0
red by 31.1
5582
#75
14.10.0
9.5→9.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop14.6
End0.0