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Qual 412015 Tesla Division
Red220
239921.4
213784.7
212283.2
Blue228
382476.0
31957.1
336058.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166163100120140180200220240220228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2137
#3
84.72.5
68.2→70.7
Auto0.4
Teleop84.3
End0.0
red by 8.6
3824
#11
76.02.9
71.2→74.0
Auto-1.0
Teleop77.0
End0.0
Second
2122
#6
83.22.5
80.2→82.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop83.3
End0.0
red by 24.6
3360
#9
58.62.9
56.1→59.0
Auto8.0
Teleop50.6
End0.0
Third
2399
#65
21.42.5
21.6→24.1
Auto0.5
Teleop20.9
End0.0
blue by 35.6
319
#12
57.12.9
43.0→45.9
Auto11.5
Teleop45.5
End0.0