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Qual 422015 Tesla Division
Red94
22661.2
288349.8
265817.4
Blue55
562722.0
248633.8
263554.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116894060801001401601802009455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#32
61.21.1
60.0→58.9
Auto0.1
Teleop61.2
End0.0
red by 6.8
2635
#26
54.42.1
50.8→48.7
Auto0.1
Teleop54.3
End0.0
Second
2883
#27
49.81.1
44.4→43.3
Auto2.0
Teleop47.9
End0.0
red by 16.0
2486
#46
33.82.1
28.0→25.9
Auto0.7
Teleop33.1
End0.0
Third
2658
#73
17.41.1
11.4→10.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.5
End0.0
blue by 4.6
5627
#53
22.02.1
17.8→15.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.1
End0.0