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Red134
183638.2
14143.4
295971.6
Blue176
24425.3
165855.0
573025.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14175050100200134176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.60.1
56.756.6
Auto0.4
Teleop71.2
End0.0
red by 16.6
1658
#33
55.04.4
55.159.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop55.4
End0.0
Second
141
#50
43.40.1
45.044.9
Auto0.8
Teleop42.7
End0.0
red by 18.2
244
#44
25.34.4
20.925.3
Auto1.1
Teleop24.1
End0.0
Third
1836
#37
38.20.1
34.033.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop38.2
End0.0
red by 13.2
5730
#39
25.04.4
12.516.9
Auto0.7
Teleop24.2
End0.0