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Qual 442015 Tesla Division
Red93
61226.7
571227.9
164736.5
Blue195
205941.4
365646.3
140345.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8213505010015020025093195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1647
#52
36.50.0
43.8→43.8
Auto1.7
Teleop34.7
End0.0
blue by 9.8
3656
#17
46.33.5
44.4→47.9
Auto-1.2
Teleop47.5
End0.0
Second
5712
#68
27.90.0
25.9→25.9
Auto0.8
Teleop27.2
End0.0
blue by 17.4
1403
#48
45.43.5
60.2→63.7
Auto-1.9
Teleop47.2
End0.0
Third
612
#42
26.70.0
23.7→23.7
Auto0.8
Teleop25.9
End0.0
blue by 14.7
2059
#16
41.43.5
26.9→30.4
Auto0.6
Teleop40.8
End0.0