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Qual 452015 Tesla Division
Red130
66823.2
542212.8
347669.5
Blue120
206258.8
29241.8
296049.1
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61153050100200250130120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3476
#15
69.52.6
48.5→51.1
Auto-0.7
Teleop70.2
End0.0
red by 10.7
2062
#29
58.80.9
57.9→57.1
Auto0.8
Teleop58.0
End0.0
Second
668
#69
23.22.6
22.2→24.8
Auto-1.1
Teleop24.3
End0.0
blue by 25.9
2960
#36
49.10.9
46.4→45.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop49.4
End0.0
Third
5422
#66
12.82.6
7.2→9.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.9
End0.0
blue by 29.0
292
#41
41.80.9
39.3→38.5
Auto1.2
Teleop40.5
End0.0