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Qual 472015 Tesla Division
Red122
34060.7
252630.9
131118.3
Blue146
35823.6
62485.0
325044.3
22%Model gave it78%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96140050200250122146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#10
60.70.8
50.4→51.2
Auto0.5
Teleop60.3
End0.0
blue by 24.3
624
#4
85.00.4
79.0→79.4
Auto12.0
Teleop73.0
End0.0
Second
2526
#72
30.90.8
34.6→35.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop31.3
End0.0
blue by 13.4
3250
#25
44.30.4
33.7→34.1
Auto1.6
Teleop42.7
End0.0
Third
1311
#67
18.30.8
21.4→22.1
Auto0.7
Teleop17.6
End0.0
blue by 5.3
358
#61
23.60.4
25.6→26.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop24.1
End0.0