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Qual 482015 Tesla Division
Red111
299217.1
384727.7
17136.2
Blue133
151532.5
125540.1
132321.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49600100150200111133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171
#24
36.22.9
22.0→24.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop36.4
End0.0
blue by 3.9
1255
#38
40.13.9
24.1→28.0
Auto1.0
Teleop39.1
End0.0
Second
3847
#31
27.72.9
15.6→18.6
Auto1.2
Teleop26.5
End0.0
blue by 4.8
1515
#51
32.53.9
22.2→26.1
Auto1.3
Teleop31.1
End0.0
Third
2992
#71
17.12.9
14.7→17.6
Auto0.1
Teleop16.9
End0.0
blue by 4.6
1323
#76
21.63.9
14.3→18.2
Auto0.8
Teleop20.8
End0.0