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Qual 512015 Tesla Division
Red94
4857.4
122530.4
239921.4
Blue162
500624.1
425647.5
180683.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10213105015020025094162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
#14
57.40.8
59.2→58.3
Auto0.2
Teleop57.1
End0.0
blue by 26.4
1806
#8
83.81.5
68.5→70.1
Auto2.1
Teleop81.7
End0.0
Second
1225
#63
30.40.8
27.6→26.8
Auto0.4
Teleop29.9
End0.0
blue by 17.2
4256
#23
47.51.5
43.4→45.0
Auto1.6
Teleop45.9
End0.0
Third
2399
#65
21.40.8
24.1→23.3
Auto0.5
Teleop20.9
End0.0
blue by 2.7
5006
#62
24.11.5
19.6→21.1
Auto0.6
Teleop23.4
End0.0