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Qual 522015 Tesla Division
Red52
205941.4
573025.0
558214.1
Blue179
347669.5
206258.8
405027.2
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40137010015020025052179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2059
#16
41.40.2
30.4→30.2
Auto0.6
Teleop40.8
End0.0
blue by 28.1
3476
#15
69.52.6
51.1→53.8
Auto-0.7
Teleop70.2
End0.0
Second
5730
#39
25.00.2
16.9→16.7
Auto0.7
Teleop24.2
End0.0
blue by 33.9
2062
#29
58.82.6
57.1→59.7
Auto0.8
Teleop58.0
End0.0
Third
5582
#75
14.10.2
9.5→9.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop14.6
End0.0
blue by 13.1
4050
#30
27.22.6
18.3→20.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.3
End0.0