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Red118
213784.7
24425.3
336058.6
Blue66
252630.9
313273.8
394129.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1561125010020025011866

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.71.9
70.768.9
Auto0.4
Teleop84.3
End0.0
red by 10.9
73.82.9
62.259.4
Auto8.1
Teleop65.6
End0.0
Second
58.61.9
59.057.2
Auto8.0
Teleop50.6
End0.0
red by 27.7
2526
#72
30.92.9
35.332.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop31.3
End0.0
Third
244
#44
25.31.9
25.323.4
Auto1.1
Teleop24.1
End0.0
blue by 3.8
3941
#40
29.12.9
25.522.7
Auto-0.7
Teleop29.8
End0.0