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Red200
263554.4
212283.2
183638.2
Blue120
299217.1
150253.6
295016.8
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions180470100150200250300200120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.21.7
82.784.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop83.3
End0.0
red by 29.5
1502
#34
53.62.5
44.647.1
Auto0.2
Teleop53.4
End0.0
Second
2635
#26
54.41.7
48.750.5
Auto0.1
Teleop54.3
End0.0
red by 37.4
2992
#71
17.12.5
17.620.1
Auto0.1
Teleop16.9
End0.0
Third
1836
#37
38.21.7
33.935.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop38.2
End0.0
red by 21.4
2950
#64
16.82.5
7.510.0
Auto-1.1
Teleop17.9
End0.0