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Qual 552015 Tesla Division
Red186
29241.8
248633.8
217065.3
Blue138
457123.7
295971.6
152349.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125100406080140160180200186138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2170
#5
65.33.0
61.6→64.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop65.7
End0.0
blue by 6.3
2959
#7
71.61.5
56.6→58.1
Auto0.4
Teleop71.2
End0.0
Second
292
#41
41.83.0
38.5→41.5
Auto1.2
Teleop40.5
End0.0
blue by 7.9
1523
#18
49.71.5
40.8→42.3
Auto0.9
Teleop48.8
End0.0
Third
2486
#46
33.83.0
25.9→28.9
Auto0.7
Teleop33.1
End0.0
red by 10.1
4571
#49
23.71.5
10.3→11.8
Auto0.9
Teleop22.8
End0.0