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Qual 572015 Tesla Division
Red22
567821.3
14143.4
161019.7
Blue46
542212.8
531436.3
151532.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions846902040601001201401602246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141
#50
43.43.1
44.9→41.8
Auto0.8
Teleop42.7
End0.0
red by 7.1
5314
#55
36.31.4
37.6→36.2
Auto1.2
Teleop35.2
End0.0
Second
5678
#59
21.33.1
17.5→14.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.4
End0.0
blue by 11.2
1515
#51
32.51.4
26.1→24.7
Auto1.3
Teleop31.1
End0.0
Third
1610
#74
19.73.1
21.9→18.7
Auto2.1
Teleop17.6
End0.0
red by 6.9
5422
#66
12.81.4
9.8→8.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.9
End0.0