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Qual 582015 Tesla Division
Red132
571227.9
131118.3
400354.9
Blue186
125540.1
288349.8
31957.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93117050150200250300132186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4003
#28
54.91.6
51.8→53.4
Auto10.8
Teleop44.1
End0.0
blue by 2.1
319
#12
57.13.4
45.9→49.3
Auto11.5
Teleop45.5
End0.0
Second
5712
#68
27.91.6
25.9→27.5
Auto0.8
Teleop27.2
End0.0
blue by 21.9
2883
#27
49.83.4
43.3→46.8
Auto2.0
Teleop47.9
End0.0
Third
1311
#67
18.31.6
22.1→23.8
Auto0.7
Teleop17.6
End0.0
blue by 21.8
1255
#38
40.13.4
28.0→31.5
Auto1.0
Teleop39.1
End0.0